Projected FPL points
at Aston Villa · FDR 4Mon 31 Aug, 20:00
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Bukayo Saka
Arsenal · Midfielder · £9.5m
Saka's 9-point return came through 1 goal in 67 minutes. Season xGI is 0.72, or 0.97 per 90. That is the part to compare with the next two starts.
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Mon 31 Aug, 20:00
Banked FPL points
67 minutes · Started · 3–09 points banked – now check how
Started against Coventry City and played 67 minutes. 9 FPL points, with 1 goal, a clean sheet, 1 bonus.
Official FPL status, match record and listed set-piece orderSaka's 9-point return came through 1 goal in 67 minutes. Season xGI is 0.72, or 0.97 per 90. That is the part to compare with the next two starts.
Saka is currently listed first for penalties. At £9.5m, that dead-ball route is a specific source of value, but it still needs confirmation from the next competitive kick.
Away at Aston Villa is an FDR 4 test where goal, assist and clean-sheet routes need to beat a difficult matchup. The model lands on 5.0 points; use that as a one-week baseline, not the whole transfer case.
This season
The numbers on the board right now.
Gameweek by Gameweek
Starts, minutes and returns. No guesswork.
| GW | Opponent | Score | Minutes | Points | G | A | CS | Bonus | xGI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | v Coventry City | 3–0 | 67 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.72 |
The longer view
One hot Saturday can lie. A full FPL season usually tells you more.
| Season | Points | Starts | Minutes | Goals | Assists | Clean sheets | Bonus | xG | xA | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 157 | 25 | 2,218 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7.57 | 7.16 | £10.0m → £10.0m |
| 2024/25 | 127 | 20 | 1,724 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 6.87 | 7.78 | £10.0m → £10.4m |
| 2023/24 | 226 | 35 | 2,922 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 29 | 15.40 | 10.90 | £8.5m → £8.8m |
| 2022/23 | 202 | 37 | 3,183 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 19 | 11.49 | 5.97 | £8.0m → £8.0m |
| 2021/22 | 179 | 0 | 2,978 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £6.5m → £6.7m |
| 2020/21 | 114 | 0 | 2,554 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £5.5m → £5.1m |
| 2019/20 | 71 | 0 | 1,746 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £4.5m → £4.7m |
| 2018/19 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £4.5m → £4.5m |
What comes next
The run of matches behind the projection.
at Aston Villa
FDR 4
v Chelsea
FDR 4
at Sunderland
FDR 3
at Brighton
FDR 3
v Leeds
FDR 2
at Nott'm Forest
FDR 3
AI FPL xP starts with the official forecast, then adjusts for player quality, expected minutes, set pieces, team strength, venue and FDR. It is a planning number, not a promise.