Projected FPL points
at Everton · FDR 3Sat 17 Oct, 12:30
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CHE
Danny Welbeck
Chelsea · Forward · £5.9m
Welbeck was removed after 7 minutes against Bournemouth. That sharply reduced the time available for an attacking return. The manager's explanation is the next useful piece of evidence.
View match summary on Live →#198 most owned0.8% ownershipAvailable
Sat 17 Oct, 12:30
Banked FPL points
7 minutes · From the bench · 5–1Off after 7 minutes
Came on against Bournemouth and played 7 minutes. 1 FPL point.
Official FPL status, match record and listed set-piece orderWelbeck was removed after 7 minutes against Bournemouth. That sharply reduced the time available for an attacking return. The manager's explanation is the next useful piece of evidence.
11,332 net transfers out has pushed the market away from Welbeck. For an owner, the useful question is whether 1 starts and 0.14 xGI support holding through the crowd movement.
Away at Everton is an FDR 3 fixture that puts the focus on goal and bonus routes. The model lands on 2.0 points; use that as a one-week baseline, not the whole transfer case.
This season
The numbers on the board right now.
Gameweek by Gameweek
Starts, minutes and returns. No guesswork.
| GW | Opponent | Score | Minutes | Points | G | A | CS | Bonus | xGI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | v Bournemouth | 5–1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 5 | at Brentford | 3–0 | 70 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 |
| 4 | v Hull City | 2–2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 |
| 3 | at Arsenal | 2–1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 2 | v Brighton | 4–3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 1 | at Fulham | 2–3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
The longer view
One hot Saturday can lie. A full FPL season usually tells you more.
| Season | Points | Starts | Minutes | Goals | Assists | Clean sheets | Bonus | xG | xA | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 126 | 26 | 2,249 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 12.36 | 1.40 | £6.5m → £6.3m |
| 2024/25 | 125 | 24 | 2,109 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 9.58 | 1.36 | £5.5m → £5.5m |
| 2023/24 | 79 | 21 | 1,687 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 5.09 | 1.46 | £6.0m → £5.7m |
| 2022/23 | 91 | 21 | 1,844 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 8.59 | 1.65 | £6.5m → £6.5m |
| 2021/22 | 89 | 0 | 1,469 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £6.0m → £6.0m |
| 2020/21 | 89 | 0 | 1,541 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £5.5m → £5.5m |
| 2019/20 | 39 | 0 | 813 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £6.0m → £5.8m |
| 2018/19 | 19 | 0 | 146 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £6.5m → £6.4m |
| 2017/18 | 70 | 0 | 1,178 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £7.5m → £7.3m |
| 2016/17 | 37 | 0 | 748 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £7.5m → £7.3m |
| 2015/16 | 48 | 0 | 575 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £7.5m → £6.9m |
| 2014/15 | 89 | 0 | 1,709 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £7.0m → £6.9m |
| 2013/14 | 100 | 0 | 1,462 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £7.5m → £6.6m |
| 2012/13 | 57 | 0 | 1,301 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £8.5m → £7.8m |
| 2011/12 | 112 | 0 | 2,012 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £7.0m → £6.3m |
| 2010/11 | 79 | 0 | 1,756 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £5.5m → £4.4m |
| 2009/10 | 6 | 0 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £6.0m → £5.9m |
| 2008/09 | 9 | 0 | 118 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £6.0m → £6.0m |
What comes next
The run of matches behind the projection.
at Everton
FDR 3
v Spurs
FDR 2
v Man Utd
FDR 4
at Sunderland
FDR 3
v Leeds
FDR 3
at Nott'm Forest
FDR 3
AI FPL xP starts with the official forecast, then adjusts for player quality, expected minutes, set pieces, team strength, venue and FDR. It is a planning number, not a promise.