Projected FPL points
at Everton · FDR 3Sat 17 Oct, 12:30
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Morgan Rogers
Chelsea · Midfielder · £7.9m
Rogers's 9-point return came through 1 goal in 83 minutes. Season xGI is 3.20, or 0.55 per 90. That is the part to compare with the next two starts.
View match summary on Live →#4 most owned45.6% ownershipAvailable
Sat 17 Oct, 12:30
Banked FPL points
83 minutes · Started · 5–19 points banked – now check how
Started against Bournemouth and played 83 minutes. 9 FPL points, with 1 goal.
Official FPL status, match record and listed set-piece orderRogers's 9-point return came through 1 goal in 83 minutes. Season xGI is 3.20, or 0.55 per 90. That is the part to compare with the next two starts.
315,468 net transfers in is a major market move. With ownership already at 45.6%, buying now is partly a protection decision; the minutes and role still decide whether it is a good one.
Away at Everton is an FDR 3 fixture that puts the focus on goal, assist and clean-sheet routes. The model lands on 5.3 points; use that as a one-week baseline, not the whole transfer case.
This season
The numbers on the board right now.
Gameweek by Gameweek
Starts, minutes and returns. No guesswork.
| GW | Opponent | Score | Minutes | Points | G | A | CS | Bonus | xGI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | v Bournemouth | 5–1 | 83 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 |
| 5 | at Brentford | 3–0 | 90 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.40 |
| 4 | v Hull City | 2–2 | 90 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 |
| 3 | at Arsenal | 2–1 | 86 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 |
| 2 | v Brighton | 4–3 | 90 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.15 |
| 1 | at Fulham | 2–3 | 81 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.06 |
The longer view
One hot Saturday can lie. A full FPL season usually tells you more.
| Season | Points | Starts | Minutes | Goals | Assists | Clean sheets | Bonus | xG | xA | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 169 | 37 | 3,280 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 6.84 | 4.32 | £7.0m → £7.3m |
| 2024/25 | 161 | 37 | 3,115 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 6.49 | 5.24 | £5.0m → £5.8m |
| 2023/24 | 35 | 8 | 636 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1.35 | 0.33 | £5.0m → £5.0m |
What comes next
The run of matches behind the projection.
at Everton
FDR 3
v Spurs
FDR 2
v Man Utd
FDR 4
at Sunderland
FDR 3
v Leeds
FDR 3
at Nott'm Forest
FDR 3
AI FPL xP starts with the official forecast, then adjusts for player quality, expected minutes, set pieces, team strength, venue and FDR. It is a planning number, not a promise.