Projected FPL points
at Newcastle · FDR 3Sat 17 Oct, 17:30
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AVL
John McGinn
Aston Villa · Midfielder · £5.4m
McGinn's 10-point return came through 1 goal in 90 minutes. Season xGI is 1.95, or 0.33 per 90. That is the part to compare with the next two starts.
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Sat 17 Oct, 17:30
Banked FPL points
90 minutes · Started · 2–210 points banked – now check how
Started against Brentford and played 90 minutes. 10 FPL points, with 1 goal, 3 bonus.
Official FPL status, match record and listed set-piece orderMcGinn's 10-point return came through 1 goal in 90 minutes. Season xGI is 1.95, or 0.33 per 90. That is the part to compare with the next two starts.
McGinn is currently listed first for corners. At £5.4m, that dead-ball route is a specific source of value, but it still needs confirmation from the next competitive kick.
Away at Newcastle is an FDR 3 fixture that puts the focus on goal, assist and clean-sheet routes. The model lands on 4.7 points; use that as a one-week baseline, not the whole transfer case.
This season
The numbers on the board right now.
Gameweek by Gameweek
Starts, minutes and returns. No guesswork.
| GW | Opponent | Score | Minutes | Points | G | A | CS | Bonus | xGI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | v Brentford | 2–2 | 90 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.94 |
| 5 | at Spurs | 2–3 | 83 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 |
| 4 | v Nott'm Forest | 1–2 | 90 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 |
| 3 | at Hull City | 0–0 | 90 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.71 |
| 2 | v Arsenal | 0–1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 |
| 1 | at Brighton | 4–0 | 81 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 |
The longer view
One hot Saturday can lie. A full FPL season usually tells you more.
| Season | Points | Starts | Minutes | Goals | Assists | Clean sheets | Bonus | xG | xA | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 103 | 28 | 2,136 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 3.00 | 4.11 | £5.5m → £5.3m |
| 2024/25 | 78 | 27 | 2,217 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 3.10 | 2.70 | £5.5m → £5.2m |
| 2023/24 | 119 | 35 | 3,000 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 5.01 | 4.99 | £5.5m → £5.3m |
| 2022/23 | 90 | 30 | 2,692 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 2.40 | 3.33 | £5.5m → £5.1m |
| 2021/22 | 110 | 0 | 3,090 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £6.0m → £5.6m |
| 2020/21 | 114 | 0 | 3,330 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £5.5m → £5.5m |
| 2019/20 | 84 | 0 | 2,312 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £5.5m → £5.2m |
What comes next
The run of matches behind the projection.
at Newcastle
FDR 3
v Man City
FDR 4
v Fulham
FDR 2
at Man Utd
FDR 4
v Sunderland
FDR 3
at Ipswich Town
FDR 2
AI FPL xP starts with the official forecast, then adjusts for player quality, expected minutes, set pieces, team strength, venue and FDR. It is a planning number, not a promise.