Projected FPL points
v Arsenal · FDR 4Sun 18 Oct, 16:30
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NFO
Chris Wood
Nott'm Forest · Forward · £5.8m
Wood was removed after 18 minutes against Crystal Palace. That sharply reduced the time available for an attacking return. The manager's explanation is the next useful piece of evidence.
View match summary on Live →#192 most owned0.9% ownershipAvailable
Sun 18 Oct, 16:30
Banked FPL points
18 minutes · From the bench · 3–1Off after 18 minutes
Came on against Crystal Palace and played 18 minutes. 1 FPL point.
Official FPL status, match record and listed set-piece orderWood was removed after 18 minutes against Crystal Palace. That sharply reduced the time available for an attacking return. The manager's explanation is the next useful piece of evidence.
2,617 net transfers out has pushed the market away from Wood. For an owner, the useful question is whether 0 starts and 0.56 xGI support holding through the crowd movement.
Home to Arsenal is an FDR 4 test where goal and bonus routes need to beat a difficult matchup. The model lands on 1.9 points; use that as a one-week baseline, not the whole transfer case.
This season
The numbers on the board right now.
Gameweek by Gameweek
Starts, minutes and returns. No guesswork.
| GW | Opponent | Score | Minutes | Points | G | A | CS | Bonus | xGI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | at Crystal Palace | 3–1 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.43 |
| 5 | v Coventry City | 0–1 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 4 | at Aston Villa | 1–2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 3 | v Spurs | 0–0 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 2 | at Liverpool | 2–2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 1 | v Leeds | 0–1 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 |
The longer view
One hot Saturday can lie. A full FPL season usually tells you more.
| Season | Points | Starts | Minutes | Goals | Assists | Clean sheets | Bonus | xG | xA | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 41 | 11 | 896 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4.29 | 0.32 | £7.5m → £7.1m |
| 2024/25 | 200 | 35 | 2,958 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 41 | 13.42 | 1.59 | £6.0m → £7.2m |
| 2023/24 | 131 | 20 | 1,801 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 11.71 | 0.92 | £5.0m → £4.7m |
| 2022/23 | 53 | 9 | 807 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2.71 | 0.37 | £6.0m → £5.6m |
| 2021/22 | 91 | 0 | 2,694 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £7.0m → £6.3m |
| 2020/21 | 138 | 0 | 2,741 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £6.5m → £6.6m |
| 2019/20 | 136 | 0 | 2,436 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £6.5m → £6.2m |
| 2018/19 | 131 | 0 | 2,580 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £6.5m → £6.3m |
| 2017/18 | 104 | 0 | 1,621 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £6.5m → £6.2m |
| 2014/15 | 11 | 0 | 114 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £4.5m → £4.3m |
| 2010/11 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £4.5m → £4.1m |
| 2008/09 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £4.0m → £4.0m |
What comes next
The run of matches behind the projection.
v Arsenal
FDR 4
at Ipswich Town
FDR 2
at Brentford
FDR 3
v Man City
FDR 4
at Bournemouth
FDR 3
v Chelsea
FDR 4
AI FPL xP starts with the official forecast, then adjusts for player quality, expected minutes, set pieces, team strength, venue and FDR. It is a planning number, not a promise.