Projected FPL points
v Arsenal · FDR 4Mon 31 Aug, 20:00
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AVL
Ollie Watkins
Aston Villa · Forward · £8.0m
Watkins's competitive no-show is stronger evidence than a predicted XI. At £8.0m and 10.1% owned, the next team sheet decides whether patience is still justified.
View match summary on Live →#39 most owned10.1% ownershipAvailable
Mon 31 Aug, 20:00
Banked FPL points
0 minutes · No appearance · 4–0Zero minutes changes the conversation
Watkins did not get on in Gameweek 1.
Official FPL status, match record and listed set-piece orderWatkins's competitive no-show is stronger evidence than a predicted XI. At £8.0m and 10.1% owned, the next team sheet decides whether patience is still justified.
35,629 net transfers out has pushed the market away from Watkins. For an owner, the useful question is whether 0 starts and 0.00 xGI support holding through the crowd movement.
Home to Arsenal is an FDR 4 test where goal and bonus routes need to beat a difficult matchup. The model lands on 3.0 points; use that as a one-week baseline, not the whole transfer case.
This season
The numbers on the board right now.
Gameweek by Gameweek
Starts, minutes and returns. No guesswork.
| GW | Opponent | Score | Minutes | Points | G | A | CS | Bonus | xGI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Brighton | 4–0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
The longer view
One hot Saturday can lie. A full FPL season usually tells you more.
| Season | Points | Starts | Minutes | Goals | Assists | Clean sheets | Bonus | xG | xA | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 167 | 33 | 2,833 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 15.40 | 1.18 | £9.0m → £8.7m |
| 2024/25 | 186 | 31 | 2,593 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 15.12 | 2.07 | £9.0m → £9.2m |
| 2023/24 | 228 | 37 | 3,222 | 19 | 18 | 7 | 29 | 16.74 | 4.02 | £8.0m → £8.9m |
| 2022/23 | 175 | 36 | 3,129 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 16.15 | 2.66 | £7.5m → £7.3m |
| 2021/22 | 131 | 0 | 2,950 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £7.5m → £7.5m |
| 2020/21 | 168 | 0 | 3,328 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | £6.0m → £6.3m |
What comes next
The run of matches behind the projection.
v Arsenal
FDR 4
at Hull City
FDR 2
v Nott'm Forest
FDR 3
at Spurs
FDR 3
v Brentford
FDR 3
at Newcastle
FDR 3
AI FPL xP starts with the official forecast, then adjusts for player quality, expected minutes, set pieces, team strength, venue and FDR. It is a planning number, not a promise.