Projected FPL points
at Nott'm Forest · FDR 3Sun 18 Oct, 16:30
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Riccardo Calafiori
Arsenal · Defender · £5.9m
Calafiori's 9-point return came through 1 goal in 81 minutes. Season xGI is 1.90, or 0.34 per 90. That is the part to compare with the next two starts.
View match summary on Live →#3 most owned52.6% ownershipAvailable
Sun 18 Oct, 16:30
Banked FPL points
81 minutes · Started · 2–19 points banked – now check how
Started against Leeds and played 81 minutes. 9 FPL points, with 1 goal, 1 bonus.
Official FPL status, match record and listed set-piece orderCalafiori's 9-point return came through 1 goal in 81 minutes. Season xGI is 1.90, or 0.34 per 90. That is the part to compare with the next two starts.
131,843 net transfers in is a major market move. With ownership already at 52.6%, buying now is partly a protection decision; the minutes and role still decide whether it is a good one.
Away at Nott'm Forest is an FDR 3 fixture that puts the focus on clean-sheet floor and attacking involvement. The model lands on 5.0 points; use that as a one-week baseline, not the whole transfer case.
This season
The numbers on the board right now.
Gameweek by Gameweek
Starts, minutes and returns. No guesswork.
| GW | Opponent | Score | Minutes | Points | G | A | CS | Bonus | xGI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | v Leeds | 2–1 | 81 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.61 |
| 5 | at Brighton | 3–0 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 |
| 4 | at Sunderland | 0–2 | 90 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 |
| 3 | v Chelsea | 2–1 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.42 |
| 2 | at Aston Villa | 0–1 | 90 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.57 |
| 1 | v Coventry City | 3–0 | 80 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.13 |
The longer view
One hot Saturday can lie. A full FPL season usually tells you more.
| Season | Points | Starts | Minutes | Goals | Assists | Clean sheets | Bonus | xG | xA | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 109 | 22 | 1,697 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 3.36 | 0.76 | £5.5m → £5.6m |
| 2024/25 | 39 | 11 | 978 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.86 | 0.69 | £6.0m → £5.8m |
What comes next
The run of matches behind the projection.
at Nott'm Forest
FDR 3
v Everton
FDR 3
at Liverpool
FDR 4
v Hull City
FDR 2
at Newcastle
FDR 3
v Man City
FDR 4
AI FPL xP starts with the official forecast, then adjusts for player quality, expected minutes, set pieces, team strength, venue and FDR. It is a planning number, not a promise.